Growth wiki

Lifetime Value (LTV)

Calculate the total revenue a customer relationship generates over its entire duration to guide acquisition spending and retention priorities.

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Definition

Lifetime Value (LTV)

Lifetime Value (LTV) represents the total net revenue you can expect from a customer relationship from acquisition through to eventual churn. The basic calculation multiplies average deal value by average number of purchases (or subscription months retained) minus the variable costs of serving that customer over time. For subscription businesses, the simplified formula is: (Average Monthly Recurring Revenue per Customer) × (Average Customer Lifetime in Months) × (Gross Margin). One-time purchase businesses calculate: (Average Transaction Value) × (Average Purchase Frequency per Year) × (Average Customer Lifespan in Years) × (Gross Margin). LTV provides the ceiling for profitable customer acquisition: you can afford to spend up to your LTV on acquiring a customer and break even, though sustainable businesses target LTV:CAC ratios of 3:1 or higher to ensure profitability after overheads. Sophisticated LTV models segment by customer cohort, acquisition channel, or product tier, revealing which segments deliver disproportionate value.

Importance

Why this matters

LTV matters because it determines how aggressively you can acquire customers whilst maintaining healthy unit economics. Without knowing LTV, you're flying blind on acquisition spending—potentially walking away from profitable channels because upfront costs seem high, or pouring money into channels that acquire customers who churn quickly and never recoup acquisition costs. The metric fundamentally shifts strategic thinking from transactional ("we made a sale") to relationship-oriented ("we acquired an asset that will generate returns for years"). This perspective naturally surfaces retention as equally important to acquisition: doubling retention often doubles LTV, instantly making every acquisition channel twice as profitable without spending more on marketing. For B2B SaaS especially, where subscription models create compounding value, small improvements in retention or expansion revenue dramatically increase LTV, justifying higher CAC and enabling more aggressive growth. LTV also guides product and pricing decisions: if most customer value accrues in years 2-3 but you're haemorrhaging customers after 6 months, you've got an activation or onboarding problem more valuable to fix than incrementally improving acquisition. Investors scrutinise LTV:CAC ratios closely because they predict scalability—ratios below 3:1 suggest the business cannot profitably scale, ratios above 5:1 suggest you're under-investing in growth.

Introduction

Introduction to

Lifetime Value (LTV)

Customer lifetime value (LTV) is the total gross margin a B2B service firm expects to earn from a single client over the entire span of that relationship. For a retained PR agency it is the sum of monthly fees, less delivery cost, from contract start until the client churns. For a project-based law practice it is the margin on the first matter plus any follow-on work and referrals that client generates. LTV converts rolling revenue into one clear number so you can decide how much you can rationally spend on winning similar clients.

Because revenue in services tends to vary by project scope and duration, LTV is rarely a neat subscription multiple. Instead it requires tracking three drivers:

  1. Average billing per period (monthly retainer or typical project fee).
  2. Gross margin (fee minus direct delivery cost—staff hours, subcontractors, licences).
  3. Average client lifespan (number of months or projects before churn).

Multiply the first two to get margin per period; multiply that by lifespan to get LTV.

Example 1

Example 2

Example 3

How to use it

How to apply

Lifetime Value (LTV)

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1. Measure period revenue and margin

Retainer example – A PR agency bills £12 000 a month. Direct delivery cost (consultant time, media database, subcontracted design) totals £7 200, leaving £4 800 gross margin per month.

Project example – A law firm charges £60 000 for an M&A due-diligence matter; senior associate hours and third-party searches cost £30 000, so margin is £30 000.

2. Establish average client lifespan

Use cohort churn analysis. If 100 clients joined three years ago and 55 remain today, the average life might be 30 months. For project-only work, count follow-on matters: an M&A client returning for two contract reviews yields three projects over two years.

3. Compute LTV

Retainer agency – £4 800 margin × 30 months ≈ £144 000 LTV.

Law firm – £30 000 margin × 3 projects = £90 000 LTV.

If referrals are common, you can expand LTV with a referral factor. When each bookkeeping client reliably introduces 0.3 new clients, multiply LTV by 1.3 for the true network value.

Customer acquisition cost (CAC) and the golden ratio

CAC is all marketing and sales spend (ads, salaries, software, events) divided by the number of new clients won in that period. A healthy B2B services firm aims for LTV:CAC of at least 3:1; 5:1 is excellent and signals that you could spend more to grow faster.

\nExample\n

Annual marketing and sales spend: £450 000

New clients: 30

CAC = £450 000 ÷ 30 = £15 000

If LTV = £90 000, the ratio is 6:1—room to scale spend. If new tracking shows LTV is actually £40 000, ratio falls to 2.7 : 1—time to lift retention, prices, or cross-sell.

Where CAC overshoots, start by dissecting channel performance. Outbound SDR might deliver clients at £10 000 each, LinkedIn ads at £25 000 each; reallocating budget alone can raise the ratio.

How to lift lifetime value

Raise average billing without hurting win rates

  • Package core and premium tiers—add quarterly strategy workshops or priority service-desk support to justify a higher retainer.
  • Review price annually against delivered ROI; most staffing-constrained agencies under-charge long-standing clients.

Lengthen client lifespan

  • Onboard with a 90-day success plan so early value is obvious.
  • Schedule quarterly business reviews linking work to client KPIs.
  • Introduce a dedicated customer-success manager to pre-empt churn triggers.

Expand revenue per client

  • Offer adjacent services—an IT MSP adds cloud-security audits; a content agency adds paid-media management.
  • Tie fees to performance metrics (percentage of ad spend managed, percentage of savings realised).

Harness referrals and upsells

  • Create a simple referral ask after visible wins; a bookkeeping firm might email “Know another SaaS CFO battling deferred revenue headaches?”
  • Trigger upsell campaigns when usage or results cross a threshold—HubSpot workflows can alert account managers when open-rate benchmarks are smashed.

Pitfalls unique to service businesses

  • Blended margins hide true LTV – Account managers often record time across clients in bulk. Without client-level time tracking LTV can look higher than reality.
  • Key-person dependency – Losing a single senior consultant can collapse margin on several accounts, slashing LTV overnight. Cross-train teams and document processes.
  • Scope creep – Fixed-fee retainers erode margin if scope isn’t policed, shrinking LTV even while revenue remains steady.
  • Economic cycles – Service spend is easier to cut than SaaS subscriptions. Build diversification or flexible contracts to protect lifespan during downturns.

Conclusion

Lifetime value is the compass that shows whether growth is profitable or merely busy. Service firms must look beyond headline revenue to margin and lifespan, then compare that number with CAC to decide where to invest next. Measure carefully, segment by client type, and improve through higher-value packaging, longer retention, and expansion revenue. Get LTV right and every pound spent on acquisition returns three, five, or even ten in predictable, compounding profit.

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